KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPunto medio del book selezionato
Before Jul 1, 2027 · —
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Prezzo registrato
Before Jul 1, 2027 37%In testa tra 3 esiti
Before Jul 1, 2027 37%Qualità del mercato
75 / 100
Alta qualitàVolume 24h
5,5K €
Open interest
433,8K USD
Open interest altoBid / Ask
— / —
Before Jul 1, 2027Spread
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Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 19 minuti fa
17 feb 26, 15:00 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Il grafico e le variazioni mostrano probabilità storiche salvate, non il book selezionato in tempo reale.
Trend
Riga selezionata: punto medio del book. Altre righe: riferimenti salvati, eventualmente normalizzati; le variazioni a 24h usano lo storico salvato.
Before Sep 1, 2026Persa
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Chiusura anticipata:
- Sì
- Tempo di liquidazione:
- 30m (indicativo)
Profondità di mercato · Before Jul 1, 2027
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
If Trump wins, will both Alito and Thomas retire from the supreme Court before the end of his term?
Manifold MarketsWill Samuel Alito leave Supreme Court in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill a Supreme Court Justice die, retire or be replaced for any reason by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Clarence Thomas retire from the Supreme Court before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Justice Samuel Alito announce his retirement from the Supreme Court?
FutuurAlexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?
PolymarketRegole
If Samuel Alito retires as Supreme Court Justice before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Samuel AlitoSupreme CourtPoliticoReutersthe Associated Pressthe New York TimesThe Wall Street JournalThe Washington Post
- The resolution is based on the effective date of the resignation. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
Regole per ogni esito
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If Samuel Alito retires as Supreme Court Justice before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If Samuel Alito retires as Supreme Court Justice before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Sep 1, 2026
- If Samuel Alito retires as Supreme Court Justice before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
- Disponibile anche su Gemini — When will Justice Alito retire from the Supreme Court? · Before Jul 1, 2027 37%