If Trump wins, will both Alito and Thomas retire from the supreme Court before the end of his term?
PoliticaOne-OffUS PoliticsElezione2a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 62.8%
Previsori
16
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 16 ore fa
Obsoleto29 lug 24, 13:51 UTC1 gen 29, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Clarence Thomas retire from the Supreme Court before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Justice Alito retire from the Supreme Court?
KalshiWhen will Justice Alito retire from the Supreme Court?
GeminiWill a Supreme Court justice retire during Trump’s second term?
Manifold MarketsOn Which Dates Will Netanyahu and Trump BOTH lead their countries?
Manifold MarketsWill the Supreme Court overturn gay marriage?
KalshiRegole
I criteri di risoluzione non sono ancora disponibili per questo mercato. Questa sezione verra popolata con i prossimi aggiornamenti quando le regole della fonte saranno salvate.
Mercati aperti
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 606,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 721K €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+1.0pt20%
- Tucker Carlson+0.1pt3%
+39 altri esiti
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-1.0pt55.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.5pt42.6%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt1%
+16 altri esiti
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.5%
- Gavin Newsom13.6%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 183,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 411,2K €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+4.0pt73%
- New People (NL)-2.5pt23%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.5pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-1.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 altri esiti
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per If Trump wins, will both Alito and Thomas retire from the supreme Court before the end of his term??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 63% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve If Trump wins, will both Alito and Thomas retire from the supreme Court before the end of his term??
- If Trump wins, will both Alito and Thomas retire from the supreme Court before the end of his term? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2029.