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If Trump wins, will both Alito and Thomas retire from the supreme Court before the end of his term?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Justice Samuel Alito announce his retirement from the Supreme Court?
FutuurWill Clarence Thomas retire from the Supreme Court before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Samuel Alito leave Supreme Court in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Samuel Alito leave the Supreme Court before the end of 2027?
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FutuurRegole
When will Samuel Alito retire as a Justice of the U.S. Supreme Court?
- This market will resolve to YES if Samuel Alito retires as a justice of the U.S. Supreme Court the named outcome.
- The outcome will be verified using statements from Samuel Alito or the Supreme Court, and reporting from Politico, Reuters, the Associated Press, The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, and The Washington Post.
- Resolution is based on the effective date of the resignation.
- If Samuel Alito leaves the role due to death while holding the position, contracts on this event may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
- Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless he formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
- Disponibile anche su Kalshi — When will Justice Alito retire from the Supreme Court? · Before Jul 1, 2027 39%
