How many seats will AfD win in the Saxony-Anhalt state election?
1.0 pt (24h)PoliticaOne-OffElezione12m
KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
38 or more 99%In testa tra 7 esiti
Qualità del mercato
31 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
3,4 €
Liquidità
5,9K €
Liquidità mediaDati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 minuti fa
9 lug 26, 18:50 UTC6 set 27, 14:00 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Manifold MarketsRegole
If Alternative for Germany (AfD) has won at least 36 seats in the 2026 Saxony-Anhalt Landtag election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Landeswahlausschuss Sachsen-Anhalt
- A seat is considered "won" when a candidate affiliated with the specified party has been declared elected by the relevant electoral authority and either: The time for legal challenges has expired Challenges have been resolved The member has taken their seat
- Party affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes.
- The count is determined when the new legislature takes their seats, even if some seats remain vacant or challenged.
- If the election is postponed beyond one year from the original date or cancelled entirely, the market resolves to the last fair market price.
- Only seats actually contested and filled are counted in partial elections.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per How many seats will AfD win in the Saxony-Anhalt state election??
- Kalshi quota 38 or more al 99% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve How many seats will AfD win in the Saxony-Anhalt state election??
- How many seats will AfD win in the Saxony-Anhalt state election? dovrebbe risolversi il 6 settembre 2027.
- Come viene liquidato How many seats will AfD win in the Saxony-Anhalt state election??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If Alternative for Germany (AfD) has won at least 36 seats in the 2026 Saxony-Anhalt Landtag election, then the market resolves to Yes.