KalshiChiusoVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoQuesto mercato si è risolto: Above 5.05% (45%)
Risolto: 21 ott 2026, 20:20
Risoluzione verificata dal provider
CoinRithm dispone di prove del provider sul vincitore e sul momento di regolamento di questo mercato.
Avviso sulla qualità dei datiDati obsoleti
Dati al 21 ott 2026, 19:16 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Cronologia delle Probabilità
Above 5.05%45%
Above 5.02%99%
Above 5.03%99%
Above 4.94%0%
Above 4.95%0%
Above 4.96%0%
Above 4.97%0%
Above 4.98%0%
Above 4.99%95%
Above 5.00%0%
Above 5.01%0%
Above 5.04%0%
Above 5.06%0%
Above 5.07%0%
Above 5.08%0%
Above 5.02%Persa
Prima della chiusura: 95% ·
Above 5.03%Persa
Prima della chiusura: 0% ·
Above 5.05%Vinta
Prima della chiusura: 1% ·
Above 4.94%Persa
Prima della chiusura: 0% ·
Above 4.95%Persa
Prima della chiusura: 0% ·
Above 4.96%Persa
Prima della chiusura: 0% ·
Above 4.97%Persa
Prima della chiusura: 0% ·
Above 4.98%Persa
Prima della chiusura: 0% ·
Above 4.99%Persa
Prima della chiusura: 0% ·
Above 5.00%Persa
Prima della chiusura: 0% ·
Above 5.01%Persa
Prima della chiusura: 0% ·
Above 5.04%Persa
Prima della chiusura: 0% ·
Above 5.06%Persa
Prima della chiusura: 0% ·
Above 5.07%Persa
Prima della chiusura: 0% ·
Above 5.08%Persa
Prima della chiusura: 0% ·
Mercati Correlati
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Regole
If the Pyth security yield for the 7-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 5.05% at Oct 21, 2026 at 3:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Pyth - 7Y UST
- Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike. Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.
Regole per ogni esito
- Above 5.02%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 7-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 5.02% at Oct 21, 2026 at 3:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.03%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 7-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 5.03% at Oct 21, 2026 at 3:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.05%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 7-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 5.05% at Oct 21, 2026 at 3:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.94%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 7-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.94% at Oct 21, 2026 at 3:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.95%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 7-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.95% at Oct 21, 2026 at 3:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.96%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 7-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.96% at Oct 21, 2026 at 3:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.97%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 7-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.97% at Oct 21, 2026 at 3:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.98%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 7-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.98% at Oct 21, 2026 at 3:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.99%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 7-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.99% at Oct 21, 2026 at 3:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.00%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 7-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 5.00% at Oct 21, 2026 at 3:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.01%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 7-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 5.01% at Oct 21, 2026 at 3:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.04%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 7-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 5.04% at Oct 21, 2026 at 3:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.06%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 7-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 5.06% at Oct 21, 2026 at 3:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.07%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 7-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 5.07% at Oct 21, 2026 at 3:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.08%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 7-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 5.08% at Oct 21, 2026 at 3:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes.