KalshiChiusoVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoQuesto mercato si è risolto: 5.3% or above (99%)
Risolto: 21 set 2026, 19:38
Risoluzione verificata dal provider
CoinRithm dispone di prove del provider sul vincitore e sul momento di regolamento di questo mercato.
Esito Vincente
5.3% or above
A 7 giorni
—
A 24 ore
—
Avviso sulla qualità dei datiDati obsoleti
Dati al 9 nov 2026, 13:19 UTC · criterio pm-quality-3
Cronologia delle Probabilità
5.53% or above65%
5.48% or above94%
5.49% or above93%
5.35% or above93%
5.45% or above95%
5.46% or above83%
5.52% or above93%
5.6% or above0%
5.65% or above84%
5.7% or above24%
5.75% or above18%
5.8% or above16%
5.3% or aboveVinta
5.31% or abovePersa
5.33% or abovePersa
5.34% or abovePersa
5.38% or abovePersa
5.4% or abovePersa
5.48% or abovePersa
5.32% or abovePersa
5.45% or abovePersa
5.51% or abovePersa
5.35% or abovePersa
5.49% or abovePersa
5.52% or abovePersa
5.54% or abovePersa
5.5% or abovePersa
5.53% or abovePersa
5.36% or abovePersa
5.65% or abovePersa
5.46% or abovePersa
5.42% or abovePersa
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will US 10-year treasury yield exceed 6 percent before 2028?
Manifold MarketsHow high will the US national average gas price get in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Stephen Colbert run for a high US elected office before July 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill the US treasury "be put on the blockchain" by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsAsset Sensibili al Macro
Regole
Regole archiviate a livello di evento. I termini esatti di ciascun esito non sono più disponibili.
If the daily published par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.29% on any business day between Sep 17, 2026 and Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:U.S. Department of the Treasury
- This market covers the period between Sep 17, 2026 and Jan 1, 2027.
- Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 30Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered.
- The first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration.
- If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2.
- Otherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.
