KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
5.31% or above 99%In testa tra 20 esiti
Qualità del mercato
71 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
17,9K €
Liquidità
16,6K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 minuti fa
10 set 26, 03:00 UTC30 set 26, 19:30 UTC
Trend
0%
0%
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0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
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0%
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
How high will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026?
KalshiHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
PolymarketHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
PolymarketHow low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?
PolymarketHow high will 5-year Treasury yield go in September?
LimitlessWill the US treasury "be put on the blockchain" by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegole
If the daily published par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.30% on any business day between Sep 9, 2026 and Sep 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:U.S. Department of the Treasury
- This market covers the period between Sep 9, 2026 and Sep 30, 2026.
- Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 30Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered.
- The first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration.
- If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2.
- Otherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.
Mercati aperti
Bonds & TreasuriesKALSHIHow high will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026?
- 4.86% or above99%
- 4.88% or above99%
- 4.91% or above99%
+18 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 25,1K €
- Volume 24h
- 25K €
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 4.5%+11.2pt100%
- 4.6%+4.9pt100%
- 4.8%+7.9pt100%
+8 altri esiti
KALSHI2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- 4.35% or above+21.0pt99%
- 4.37% or above99%
- 4.41% or above99%
+22 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 14,2K €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
- 4.82%+45.5pt100%
- 4.91%+64.0pt94%
- 4.94%+70.0pt93%
+6 altri esiti
KALSHI5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 10, 2026?
- 4.69% or above99%
- 4.65% or above99%
- 4.71% or above99%
+22 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 8,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 8,5K €
KALSHI30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 10, 2026?
- 5.33% or above99%
- 5.29% or above99%
- 5.31% or above99%
+12 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 7,9K €
- Volume 24h
- 7,9K €
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 10, 2026?
- How low will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026?
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 10, 2026?
- 7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 10, 2026?
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- 10Y US Treasury yield at year-end?
- How high will 30-year Treasury yield go in September?
- How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in September?
- How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
- UST par yield curve (2Y) at end of Q3 2026
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026?
Cripto correlate
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per How high will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026??
- Kalshi quota 5.31% or above al 99% al 10 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve How high will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026??
- How high will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 30 settembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato How high will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the daily published par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.30% on any business day between Sep 9, 2026 and Sep 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.