KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Sì 69%+6.0pt
Qualità del mercato
47 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
51,3 €
Liquidità
2,5K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
63.0% / 70.0%
Spread
7.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 minuti fa
1 mag 24, 12:00 UTC31 dic 31, 15:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
EU meets its 2030 climate goals?
KalshiUS meets its climate goals?
KalshiAre "Permanent ‘climate lockdowns’ coming, whether people like it or not."?
Manifold MarketsWill the climate change activists "Last Generation" ("Letzte Generation") be classified as a criminal organization?
Manifold MarketsWill climate change decimate humans before 2070?
Manifold MarketsWill the Supreme Court bar Boulder’s state-law climate claims against Suncor and Exxon?
KalshiRegole
If India has reduced the emission intensity of its GDP by 45% relative to the 2005 level by 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Indian government
Mercati aperti
Economy
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-3.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 89,9 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 1,7 Mln €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 541,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 30,7K €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 334,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 12,8K €
KALSHIUS government budget balance in 2026
- Above -8.5% of GDP97%
- Above -8.0% of GDP71%
- Above -7.5% of GDP58%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 10,7K €
- Volume 24h
- 10,7K €
KALSHIGovernment shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- No98%
- Yes2%
- Volume totale
- 612,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 6,9K €
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No95%
- Yes+1.0pt5%
- Volume totale
- 2,9 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 5,3K €
- Recession in 2027?
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
- United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- CPI in September
- CPI core in August
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- Unemployment in September
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per India meets its 2030 climate goals??
- Kalshi quota Yes al 69% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve India meets its 2030 climate goals??
- India meets its 2030 climate goals? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2031.
- Come viene liquidato India meets its 2030 climate goals??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If India has reduced the emission intensity of its GDP by 45% relative to the 2005 level by 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.