GeminiKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiCalibrazione approssimativaProbabilità implicita attuale
Before 2028 5.5%
Qualità del mercato
≤49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
174,2 €
Liquidità
—
Liquidità sconosciutaBid / Ask
5.0% / 6.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoTrader
0
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 minuti fa
4 mar 26, 11:48 UTC1 gen 28, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
NASA lands on the moon?
KalshiWho lands on the Moon next?
Manifold MarketsHow many Starships will launch before a Starship lands on the Moon?
Manifold MarketsWill humans set foot on the Moon again before an unmanned SpaceX Starship lands on Mars?
Manifold MarketsSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
LimitlessHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
KalshiRegole
NASA lands on the moon?
- If an announcement indicates that any manned NASA mission landed on the Moon after Issuance and by December 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Otherwise, it resolves to no.
- Outcome verified from NASA.
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fa92a4182002340a6ac95acf878f1991f?alt=media&token=8a40042a-95e9-44e9-a6f8-3c358d80cc13&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).
- If an announcement indicates that any manned NASA mission landed on the Moon after Issuance and by December 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercati aperti
SpaceLIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- Yes58.5%
- No41.5%
- Volume totale
- 287,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 60,2K €
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 7-1.0pt93%
- Above 8-12.0pt65%
- Above 9+5.0pt7%
+9 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 363,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 58,1K €
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-5.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027+6.0pt43%
- Before Mar 1, 202729%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,1 Mln €
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
- Anthropic88.1%
- Google-0.2pt7.9%
- Meta-0.1pt2%
+18 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic-0.1pt99%
- Google+0.3pt1%
- Meta-0.1pt0%
+18 altri esiti
POLYMARKETHow many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
- 0+1.0pt45.3%
- 1-8.5pt29.5%
- 2-0.5pt17.9%
+3 altri esiti
- SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
- Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of September?
- SpaceX Starship 14th launch?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?
- Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of November?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per NASA lands on the moon??
- Gemini quota Before 2028 al 6% al 21 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve NASA lands on the moon??
- NASA lands on the moon? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2028.
- Come viene liquidato NASA lands on the moon??
- Gemini liquida questo mercato come segue: NASA lands on the moon?