PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisProbabilité implicite actuelle↑ 6.50% 100%+13.4%En tête parmi 9 options
Qualite du marche
24 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
0 €
Liquidité
510,9 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
1.0% / 68.0%
Spread
6700.0%
Spread largeVariation 7j
-6.5%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 23 minutes
3 févr. 26, 18:5531 déc. 26, 0:00
Tendances
100%
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
↑ 6.75%81%
Tendance du volume
$364 juil.4j de données7 juil.
Marchés Associés
Fed decision in Jul 2026?
321 k €Fed maintains rate: 85%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Fed funds rate after Jul 2026 meeting?
82 k €Above 3.75%: 15%KALSHI
KALSHI
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
65,2 k €0 (0: 79%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Number of rate cuts in 2026?
61,5 k €Exactly 0 cuts: 76%KALSHI
KALSHI
Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)
40,7 k €Pause–Pause–Pause: 87%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Fed rate hike by...?
22,5 k €October Meeting: 42%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
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BofA sees 75 bps Fed hikes as Polymarket keeps 2026 no-cuts at 77%Blockchain.News
Hot PCE inflation fuels rate-hike talk as Polymarket puts Starmer exit at 89.5%Blockchain.News
PCE inflation update keeps Fed path in focus as Polymarket pegs 0 cuts at 80%Blockchain.News
Inflation warning revives hike talk as Polymarket keeps 2026 at 82% zero cutsBlockchain.NewsRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
- This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published.
- If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
- Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final.