Probabilité implicite actuelle
Karen Bass 62.4%En tête parmi 11 options
Qualité du marché
83 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
4,3 k €
Liquidité
178,7 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
0.3 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
162
Variation 7j
+6.6 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 minutes
9 oct. 25, 20:38 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Who will win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Manifold MarketsLos Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? (Nithya Raman)
KalshiLos Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? (Karen Bass)
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PolymarketLima Mayoral Election Winner
PolymarketRègles
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California.
- If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
- Également disponible sur Smarkets — Los Angeles Mayoral Election · Karen Bass 61%
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.5pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.7pt15%
+48 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,1 Md €
- Volume 24h
- 1,8 M €
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Delcy Rodríguez+44.0pt57.4%
- Nicolás Maduro-40.9pt41.6%
- No Head of State-0.1pt1%
+13 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.1pt16%
- Ron DeSantis3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff+1.0pt17.9%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.0pt16.8%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.7%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep-1.0pt58.6%
- D-House, R-Senate+1.0pt30.3%
- Republicans sweep-0.2pt10.1%
+1 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 résultats de plus
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- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Los Angeles Mayoral Election ?
- Polymarket cote Karen Bass à 62% au 20 septembre 2026.
- Quand Los Angeles Mayoral Election sera-t-il résolu ?
- Los Angeles Mayoral Election doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Los Angeles Mayoral Election est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California.
- Où Los Angeles Mayoral Election est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Smarkets.