Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? (Nithya Raman)
27.0 pts (24h)PolitiqueOne-OffÉlection1a
KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréMilieu du carnet sélectionné
Nithya Raman, ≥2% · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Prix enregistré
Nithya Raman, ≥2% 46%En tête parmi 8 options
Nithya Raman, ≥2% 46%Qualité du marché
54 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
23,5 €
Intérêt ouvert
9,4 k $US
Intérêt ouvert moyenAchat / Vente
— / —
Nithya Raman, ≥2%Écart
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 18 minutes
9 juil. 26, 18:00 UTC3 nov. 27, 15:00 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · Nithya Raman, ≥2%
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? (Karen Bass)
KalshiLos Angeles mayoral election: voter turnout
KalshiWill Nithya Raman win Novembers LA Mayor election?
Manifold MarketsWill Nithya Raman win Novembers LA Mayor election?
Manifold MarketsWill Nithya Raman Beat Karen Bass? (n/a if doesn’t advance)
Manifold MarketsWill Nithya Raman win the Los Angeles general election for mayor in 2026?
ForecastExRègles
If the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election falls within 2% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Los Angeles County Registrar-Recorder/County Clerk
- The margin of victory is the vote share received by Nithya Raman minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Nithya Raman if Nithya Raman wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Nithya Raman loses. If Nithya Raman wins, the margin will be positive; if Nithya Raman loses, the margin will be negative; if Nithya Raman ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Nithya Raman runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.
Règles de chaque résultat
- Nithya Raman, ≥2%
- If the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election falls within 2% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Nithya Raman, ≥4%
- If the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election falls within 4% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Nithya Raman, ≥6%
- If the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election falls within 6% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Nithya Raman, ≥8%
- If the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election falls within 8% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Nithya Raman, ≥10%
- If the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election falls within 10% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Nithya Raman, ≥12%
- If the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election falls within 12% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Nithya Raman, ≥14%
- If the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election falls within 14% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Nithya Raman, ≥16%
- If the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election falls within 16% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
