Israel + Hamas hostage deal by Ramadan?
Géopolitique
PolymarketFerméVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréCe marché s'est résolu: No
Résolu: 11 mars 2024, 00:01
Résolution vérifiée par le fournisseur
CoinRithm dispose d'éléments du fournisseur pour le gagnant et l'heure de règlement de ce marché.
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Non 100%
Qualite du marche
15 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
—
Liquidité inconnueDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 122 jours
Obsolète20 févr. 24, 20:0210 mars 24, 0:00
Chronologie des Probabilités
Yes0%
No100%
100%
0%
Règles
On Feb 18, member of Israeli War Cabinet Benny Gantz said "The world must know — and Hamas leaders must know — that if by Ramadan the hostages are not home, then the fighting will continue, including in Rafah."
- This market will resolve to "Yes” Israel and Hamas agree to a hostage deal by 11:59 PM Palestine Standard Time (UTC +2), March 10, 2024.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Note that an announcement by the resolution date of an agreed hostage deal between Israel and Hamas will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when and if the hostage deal actually takes place.
- Note that any hostage deal agreement will suffice, regardless of the number of hostages agreed to be released.
- The primary resolution source will be formal acknowledgments from Hamas and Israel.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Israel + Hamas hostage deal by Ramadan? ?
- Polymarket cote No à 100% au 25 avril 2026.
- Quand Israel + Hamas hostage deal by Ramadan? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Israel + Hamas hostage deal by Ramadan? doit être résolu le 10 mars 2024.
- Comment Israel + Hamas hostage deal by Ramadan? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : On Feb 18, member of Israeli War Cabinet Benny Gantz said "The world must know — and Hamas leaders must know — that if by Ramadan the hostages are not home, then the fighting will continue, including in Rafah."