PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
December 31 6%En tête parmi 4 options
Qualité du marché
69 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
2,1 k €
Liquidité
52,5 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
1.3 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
10
Variation 7j
-1.6 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes
20 juil. 26, 02:36 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
0%
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Who invades first: China (Taiwan) or U.S. (Greenland)?
Manifold MarketsChina attacks or invades Russia's territory by mid 2028
Manifold MarketsIf China invades Taiwan will they try to cut off the US from Fentanyl?
Manifold MarketsUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
PolymarketIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iranian military forces enter Kuwait by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET in a military operation that establishes control over any portion of Kuwait territory.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Any Iranian military operation which remains on the ground inside the territory of Kuwait for less than 48 hours will not qualify.
- Mere presence of Iranian military forces within Kuwait will not alone qualify, even if for longer than 48 hours.
- A consensus of credible reporting must demonstrate that such presence is or was part of a military operation which established control over a portion of Kuwait.
- Only the entry of Iranian military forces into the territory of Kuwait must occur by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Marchés ouverts
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 22,2 M €
- Volume 24h
- 470,8 k €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+1.0pt80%
- September 18+1.0pt75%
- September 11+6.5pt70%
+2 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Volume total
- 35,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 100,1 k €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- July 310%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Iran invades Kuwait by which date? ?
- Polymarket cote December 31 à 6% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Iran invades Kuwait by which date? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Iran invades Kuwait by which date? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Iran invades Kuwait by which date? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iranian military forces enter Kuwait by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET in a military operation that establishes control over any portion of Kuwait territory.