How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of August 31?
12.0 pts (24h)Middle EastOne-OffGéopolitiqueTrade Policy7j
PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
170-189 32.4%+7.0ptEn tête parmi 5 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
56 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
20,1 k €
Liquidité
5,9 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
8.0 pt
Spread largeCommentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes
28 août 26, 22:086 sept. 26, 23:59
Tendances
Règles
This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait for all days from August 31, 2026, through September 6, 2026, inclusive.
- Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- This market will resolve as soon as all relevant data has been published.
- If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point.
- In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections.