PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
10–15s 38%+10.0ptEn tête parmi 7 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
65 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
478,3 €
Liquidité
29,6 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
2.7 pt
Spread modéréCommentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes
16 sept. 26, 21:58 UTC8 oct. 26, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by which date?
PolymarketHow Long Will Trump Go To Jail?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?
PolymarketWill either Trump or Xi explicitly mention Taiwan during the upcoming summit?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump and Xi hug at their summit?
PolymarketWill the US and China announce an AI incident notification mechanism at the Trump–Xi summit?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Xi Jinping is scheduled to begin a state visit to the United States on September 24, 2026, where he will be received by Donald Trump at the White House.
- This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during this summit.
- Any handshake recorded during the summit will qualify.
- For the purposes of this market, the summit begins when Xi Jinping enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States and ends once Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory.
- If the named outcome occurs during the summit, or if Xi Jinping does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “the named outcome”.
- If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "the named outcome".
Marchés ouverts
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- 25 bps increase-6.0pt49.5%
- No change+5.0pt48.5%
- 25 bps decrease1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 7,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 755,3 k €
KALSHIWhat will Trump say this week?
- TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome99%
- Barack Hussein Obama99%
- Cuba / Cuban99%
+34 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,2 M €
- Volume 24h
- 586,9 k €
POLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- September 20+3.0pt100%
- September 25+10.5pt95%
- September 30+7.5pt85%
+3 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+0.9pt91%
- Republican Party-0.6pt9%
- Volume total
- 29,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 427,4 k €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+2.0pt60.4%
- D-House, R-Senate29.7%
- Republicans sweep-0.3pt8.9%
+1 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETWill Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- September 30+3.4pt100%
- October 31+2.8pt100%
- December 31+2.0pt100%
+3 résultats de plus
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Trump x Greenland deal signed by which date?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Venezuela leader end of 2026?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour How long will Trump and Xi shake hands? ?
- Polymarket cote 10–15s à 38% au 21 septembre 2026.
- Quand How long will Trump and Xi shake hands? sera-t-il résolu ?
- How long will Trump and Xi shake hands? doit être résolu le 8 octobre 2026.
- Comment How long will Trump and Xi shake hands? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : Xi Jinping is scheduled to begin a state visit to the United States on September 24, 2026, where he will be received by Donald Trump at the White House.