Will the US and China announce an AI incident notification mechanism at the Trump–Xi summit?
PolitiqueOne-OffUS PoliticsGéopolitiqueChina9jManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 77.8%
Prévisionnistes
5
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes
21 sept. 26, 08:22 UTC1 oct. 26, 04:59 UTC
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Description:
- Ahead of the September 24 White House summit, Treasury Secretary Bessent proposed a US–China "notification mechanism" for AI incidents that could affect national security.
- Beijing has not publicly responded.
- This market asks whether the two governments actually agree to one.
- Resolves YES if: by 11:59 PM ET September 30, 2026, official statements from both the US government and the Chinese government confirm that the two countries have agreed to establish a bilateral mechanism, channel, or hotline for notifying each other of AI-related incidents, risks, or safety events.
- Both sides required.