PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
September 30 93%+14.5ptEn tête parmi 3 options
Qualite du marche
56 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
14,3 k €
Liquidité
15,7 k €
Liquidité moyenneSpread
7.0 pt
Spread largeComments
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 20 minutes
18 août 26, 22:4330 sept. 26, 23:59
Tendances
Règles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship between market creation and the specified date AST (UTC+03:00).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Attacks on military vessels will not be considered.
- Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.
- Seize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.
- Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.