Probabilité implicite actuelle
Grüne 42.2%En tête parmi 8 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
45 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
4,3 €
Liquidité
33,7 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
8.0 pt
Spread largeCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
+2.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes
20 août 26, 18:14 UTC20 sept. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Sweden Parliamentary Election: 4th Place
PolymarketSweden Parliamentary Election: 5th Place
PolymarketSweden Parliamentary Election: 6th Place
PolymarketSweden Riksdag election: 7th place (vote share)
KalshiWhich party will win the 2026 Berlin state election?
FutuurSwedish Parliamentary Election: 4th Place
KalshiRègles
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
- This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
- If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election.
- If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher.
- If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Berlin State Election: 4th Place ?
- Polymarket cote Grüne à 42% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Berlin State Election: 4th Place sera-t-il résolu ?
- Berlin State Election: 4th Place doit être résolu le 20 septembre 2026.
- Comment Berlin State Election: 4th Place est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
- Où Berlin State Election: 4th Place est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Kalshi.