KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Christian Democrats 63.2%+13.0ptEn tête parmi 8 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
50 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
1,7 €
Liquidité
16,3 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
6.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes
1 sept. 26, 02:00 UTC18 sept. 26, 21:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the Sweden Democrats beat their 2022 vote share (20.54%) in the September 2026 Riksdag election?
Manifold MarketsSweden Parliamentary Election: 4th Place
PolymarketSweden Parliamentary Election: 5th Place
PolymarketSweden Parliamentary Election: 6th Place
PolymarketLiberals still in Riksdag after next election?
Manifold MarketsChristian Democrats still in Riksdag after next election?
Manifold MarketsRègles
If the named outcome is the sole party with the seventh-highest nationwide valid-vote share in the Swedish Election Authority's final certified result for the 2026 Riksdag election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Swedish Election Authority
- Rank parties by certified nationwide valid-vote count in the Swedish Election Authority's final Riksdag result, equivalent to unrounded valid-vote share.
- Seats, mandates, regional or municipal results, polls, projections and preliminary counts do NOT count.
- A party qualifies only if exactly six parties have more valid votes and none has the same count.
- An exact tie or unlisted sole seventh-place party makes every named market resolve NO.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Sweden Riksdag election: 7th place (vote share) ?
- Kalshi cote Christian Democrats à 63% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Sweden Riksdag election: 7th place (vote share) sera-t-il résolu ?
- Sweden Riksdag election: 7th place (vote share) doit être résolu le 18 septembre 2026.
- Comment Sweden Riksdag election: 7th place (vote share) est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the named outcome is the sole party with the seventh-highest nationwide valid-vote share in the Swedish Election Authority's final certified result for the 2026 Riksdag election, then the market resolves to Yes.