Prévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 88.7%
Prévisionnistes
15
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 minutes
14 août 25, 17:41 UTC12 sept. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Liberals still in Riksdag after next election?
Manifold MarketsSweden Riksdag election: 7th place (vote share)
KalshiWill the Sweden Democrats beat their 2022 vote share (20.54%) in the September 2026 Riksdag election?
Manifold MarketsWhich minor party will enter the Riksdag next?
Manifold MarketsNext French Presidential Election
PolymarketWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketRègles
See also: @/Pazzaz/liberals-still-in-riksdag-after-202
- In Sweden, the Christian Democrats (Kristdemokraterna, KD) received 5.3% of the votes in the 2022 election, which gave them 19 seats in the Riksdag.
- But now (in June 2025) they are polling below 4% so they might lose all their seats in the next election in 2026.
- Will they recover?
- This resolves YES if the Christian Democrats get any seats in the Riksdag after the 2026 election
- This resolves NO if the Christian Democrats do not get any seats in the Riksdag after the 2026 election
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
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- 606,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 721 k €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+1.0pt20%
- Tucker Carlson+0.1pt3%
+39 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-1.0pt55.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.5pt42.6%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.5%
- Gavin Newsom13.6%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 411,2 k €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+4.0pt73%
- New People (NL)-2.5pt23%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.5pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-1.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
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- South Carolina Senate winner?
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- Trump out as President by September 30?
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Christian Democrats still in Riksdag after next election? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 89% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Christian Democrats still in Riksdag after next election? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Christian Democrats still in Riksdag after next election? doit être résolu le 12 septembre 2026.
- Comment Christian Democrats still in Riksdag after next election? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : See also: @/Pazzaz/liberals-still-in-riksdag-after-202