Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 70.3%
Prévisionnistes
6
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes
27 août 26, 09:52 UTC13 sept. 26, 18:00 UTC
Tendances
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Sweden Riksdag election: 7th place (vote share)
KalshiLiberals still in Riksdag after next election?
Manifold MarketsChristian Democrats still in Riksdag after next election?
Manifold MarketsWill the Sweden Democrats increase their share in parliament in the Swedish 2026 general election?
Manifold MarketsSweden Parliamentary Election: M Vote Share?
PolymarketSweden Parliamentary Election: V Vote Share?
PolymarketRègles
Sweden votes for the Riksdag on 13 September 2026.
- Resolves YES if the Sweden Democrats (Sverigedemokraterna, SD) receive strictly more than 20.54% of valid votes in the 2026 Riksdag election.
- Resolves NO if SD receive 20.54% or less.
- Baseline: SD received 20.54% in the 2022 Riksdag election (official 2022 results).
- Resolution source: the final official count published by the Swedish Election Authority, Valmyndigheten — https://www.val.se.
- This is the definitive count (the 'onsdagsrakning' final tally), not election-night preliminary numbers.