Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 63.5%
Prévisionnistes
38
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes
30 mars 23, 02:48 UTC21 sept. 26, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
2026 Swedish general election prop bets (Add Answers)
Manifold MarketsSwedish general election: Sweden Democrats vote percent
KalshiWill the Sweden Democrats beat their 2022 vote share (20.54%) in the September 2026 Riksdag election?
Manifold MarketsWill Sweden Democrats back or be in government after next election?
Manifold MarketsSwedish general election: Green Party vote percent
KalshiSwedish general election: Swedish Social Democratic Party vote percent
KalshiRègles
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Swedish_general_election
- 20.5% of the votes in 2022.
- If 20.5% this resolves NO.
- If Sweden Democrats have changed name, but are the same party, the result still counts.
- If Sweden Democrats are not part of the 2026 elections, this resolves NO.
- If Sweden Democrats split into multiple parties, they are not aggregated, but I will rule on which one is closest to the original (presumably one that doesn't change its name).
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the Sweden Democrats increase their share in parliament in the Swedish 2026 general election? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 64% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the Sweden Democrats increase their share in parliament in the Swedish 2026 general election? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the Sweden Democrats increase their share in parliament in the Swedish 2026 general election? doit être résolu le 21 septembre 2026.
- Comment Will the Sweden Democrats increase their share in parliament in the Swedish 2026 general election? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Swedish_general_election