KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Centre Party 38.4%En tête parmi 8 options
Qualité du marché
57 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
292,5 €
Liquidité
11 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
6.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
19 août 26, 14:00 UTC13 sept. 27, 14:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Règles
If the named outcome finishes in 4th place in the 2026 Swedish general election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Swedish Election Authority
- For proportional representation systems, 4th place is determined by the party list order as specified by the electoral authority's final seat allocation.
- The party awarded the 4th-highest number of Riksdag seats in Valmyndigheten's final, certified distribution of mandates (mandatfördelning) resolves YES; every other listed party resolves NO Rank is NOT determined by national vote share.
- Where seat rank and vote-share rank differ, the certified seat allocation governs Resolution follows the final certified result, not the preliminary count published on election night or the ongoing count in the days that follow Only the election to the Riksdag counts.
- Seats won in the regional and municipal elections held the same day do NOT count A party awarded no seats cannot place 4th If a party not listed on this event is awarded the 4th-highest number of seats, every market on this event resolves NO
- In case of an exact tie for 4th place among multiple parties as certified by the election authority, the markets shall resolve to $1/(number of tied entities) rounded down.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Swedish Parliamentary Election: 4th Place ?
- Kalshi cote Centre Party à 38% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Swedish Parliamentary Election: 4th Place sera-t-il résolu ?
- Swedish Parliamentary Election: 4th Place doit être résolu le 13 septembre 2027.
- Comment Swedish Parliamentary Election: 4th Place est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the named outcome finishes in 4th place in the 2026 Swedish general election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.