KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Sweden Democrats 79.6%En tête parmi 8 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
48 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
408,9 €
Liquidité
16,5 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
15.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes
19 août 26, 14:00 UTC13 sept. 27, 14:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Swedish Parliamentary Election: 4th Place
KalshiSwedish Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
KalshiIsraeli Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
KalshiSweden Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
PolymarketRussia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
PolymarketMecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
PolymarketRègles
If the named outcome finishes in 2nd place in the 2026 Swedish general election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Swedish Election Authority
- For proportional representation systems, 2nd place is determined by the party list order as specified by the electoral authority's final seat allocation.
- The party awarded the 2nd-highest number of Riksdag seats in Valmyndigheten's final, certified distribution of mandates (mandatfördelning) resolves YES; every other listed party resolves NO Rank is NOT determined by national vote share.
- Where seat rank and vote-share rank differ, the certified seat allocation governs Resolution follows the final certified result, not the preliminary count published on election night or the ongoing count in the days that follow Only the election to the Riksdag counts.
- Seats won in the regional and municipal elections held the same day do NOT count A party awarded no seats cannot place 2nd If a party not listed on this event is awarded the 2nd-highest number of seats, every market on this event resolves NO
- In case of an exact tie for 2nd place among multiple parties as certified by the election authority, the markets shall resolve to $1/(number of tied entities) rounded down.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Swedish Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place ?
- Kalshi cote Sweden Democrats à 80% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Swedish Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place sera-t-il résolu ?
- Swedish Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place doit être résolu le 13 septembre 2027.
- Comment Swedish Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the named outcome finishes in 2nd place in the 2026 Swedish general election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.