PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
4.2% 29.7%-0.5ptEn tête parmi 9 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualite du marche
58 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
648,4 €
Liquidité
12 k €
Liquidité moyenneSpread
4.0 pt
Spread modéréComments
0
Variation 7j
+3.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 minutes
7 août 26, 17:104 sept. 26, 8:30
Tendances
Règles
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for August 2026.
- The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
- The relevant data release is scheduled for September 4, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
- This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued.
- Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
- If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
Référence CoinRithm 4.2% 33% · 2 plateformes · bande de 0 pt
- Également disponible sur Kalshi — Unemployment rate in Aug 2026? · Exactly 4.2% 26%
- Également disponible sur ForecastEx — Will the US Unemployment Rate exceed 4.4% in August 2026? · No 97%
- Également disponible sur Limitless — August Unemployment Rate · 4.2% 29%
- Également disponible sur Futuur — US unemployment rate — August 2026 · Above 3.7% 95%
Marchés ouverts
Economy
KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No78%
- Yes-6.0pt22%
- Volume total
- 196,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 17 k €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.7%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 106,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 13,5 k €
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No93%
- Yes-1.0pt7%
- Volume total
- 2,8 M €
- Volume 24h
- 9,9 k €
KALSHICPI core in October
- Above 0.1%98%
- Above 0.2%98%
- Above 0.0%66%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 6,9 k €
- Volume 24h
- 6,5 k €
KALSHIUnemployment in August
- Above 3.7%96%
- Above 3.8%96%
- Above 3.9%+4.0pt93%
+11 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 229,7 k €
- Volume 24h
- 5,5 k €
POLYMARKETJapan GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ Annualized)?
- 0.0%–0.8%+19.5pt25%
- 0.8%–1.6%+18.5pt21%
- -0.8%–0.0%+2.0pt18.6%
+7 résultats de plus
- Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- ISM Services PMI - August 2026
- University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - August 2026
- UK Annual GDP Growth 2026
- Brazil GDP Growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ)?
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- CPI in August
- U.S. federal deficit-to-GDP below 5% for FY2026?
- Core inflation in August 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour August Unemployment Rate ?
- Polymarket cote 4.2% à 30% au 21 août 2026.
- Quand August Unemployment Rate sera-t-il résolu ?
- August Unemployment Rate doit être résolu le 4 septembre 2026.
- Comment August Unemployment Rate est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for August 2026.
- Où August Unemployment Rate est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Kalshi, ForecastEx, Limitless, Futuur.