PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
October 31 10%-4.5pt
Qualité du marché
34 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
163,6 €
Liquidité
1,4 k €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
5.0% / 14.0%
Écart
9.0 pt
Spread largeCommentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 minutes
10 sept. 26, 17:38 UTC1 nov. 26, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?
PolymarketUS Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?
PolymarketUS Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?
PolymarketOpus 5.2 released in September?
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiTencent market share this week
KalshiRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if public access to OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra model is generally removed in the United States for any reason between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A general removal of public access means the model is no longer available for use by the general public in the United States through any of OpenAI's ordinary public channels, including its consumer applications and self-serve API.
- Removal from a single channel while another public channel retains access, removals applying only to limited groups (e.g., foreign nationals), payment or pricing changes, and restrictions on particular capabilities or features of an otherwise accessible model will not qualify.
- A general removal qualifies even if access is retained by limited groups or organizations (e.g., whitelisted firms, approved-access programs, or individuals with security clearance).
- Removal of individual modes, snapshots, or reduced-capability variants will not qualify while the model itself remains publicly accessible; however, if only reduced-capability variants (e.g., mini or nano variants) remain accessible, the model will be considered removed.
Marchés ouverts
AIPOLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Alibaba-3.5pt84.6%
- Moonshot+4.7pt10.6%
- Z.ai+0.3pt1.9%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 410,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 56,4 k €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+0.4pt70%
- ChatGPT-0.8pt15%
- Gemini+0.1pt7%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 9,7 M €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+4.0pt87%
- December 15,+1.0pt84%
- November 30,+6.0pt79%
+7 résultats de plus
KALSHITencent market share this week
- Above 2.7%91%
- Above 4.5%+19.0pt41%
- Above 5.6%+10.0pt20%
+6 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 58,4 k €
KALSHIDeepSeek market share this week
- Above 22.7%99%
- Above 21.7%99%
- Above 23.6%-1.0pt95%
+6 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 70 k €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.25T+1.3pt100%
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
+10 résultats de plus
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Best AI this week
- OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- OpenAI market share this week
- Next Claude Opus released by which date?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Best AI in Sep 2026?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- Anthropic market share this week
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Astra removed from public access by which date? ?
- Polymarket cote October 31 à 10% au 17 septembre 2026.
- Quand Astra removed from public access by which date? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Astra removed from public access by which date? doit être résolu le 1 novembre 2026.
- Comment Astra removed from public access by which date? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to "Yes" if public access to OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra model is generally removed in the United States for any reason between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.