MyriadProbabilité implicite actuelle
Oui 7.5%-0.2%
Qualite du marche
40 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
438,3 €
Liquidité
1,8 k €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
-
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 minutes
12 janv. 26, 16:0130 sept. 26, 23:59
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Yes8%
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**Market Dates:**
- - **Market Period**: From the publication date through September 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC. - **Market Close:** September 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC. - **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined after market close, or earlier if the outcome is reached.
- **Resolution Criteria:**
- - Resolves to "**Yes**" if the Islamic Republic of Iran’s current ruling regime is overthrown, collapsed, or otherwise ceases to govern within the Market Period. - Resolves to “**No**” if not.
- **Resolution Details:**
- - A potential “Yes” resolution requires credible sources to confirm that the core institutions of the Islamic Republic—such as the Office of the Supreme Leader, the Guardian Council, or IRGC authority under clerical control—have been dismantled, rendered inoperative, or replaced by a fundamentally different system of governance, or that they have otherwise lost de facto control over most of Iran’s population.