Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 ?

Myriad cote Gavin Newsom à 40.9% au 10 octobre 2026.

Quand Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 sera-t-il résolu ?

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2100.

Myriad règle ce marché comme suit : ### **Market Dates:**

La même question est également listée sur Manifold Markets, Smarkets, Kalshi, Robinhood (Rothera), Polymarket, Limitless, ForecastEx, PredictIt.

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Alerte qualité des donnéesPrix non significatif

Données au 10 oct. 2026, 00:38 UTC · politique pm-quality-4

Probabilité implicite actuelle

Gavin Newsom 40.9%+3.2pt

En tête parmi 32 options

Qualité du marché

22 / 100

Faible qualité

Volume 24h

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Liquidité

—

Liquidité inconnue

Traders

5,547

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 1 minute

24 févr. 26, 14:41 UTC1 janv. 00, 00:01 UTC

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Marchés Associés

Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.

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Règles

### **Market Dates:**

- **Market Period:** From the publication date until the nomination is officially determined. - **Market Close:** This market remains open until a resolution is achieved. - **Resolution Deadline:** The market will resolve as soon as an outcome is reached.
### **Resolution Criteria:**
- This market resolves to the **individual candidate who officially wins and accepts the 2028 Democratic Party nomination for President of the United States**. - If a candidate not represented by their own bracket wins, the market resolves to “Other.” - Confirmation will rely on the Democratic Party’s **official communications**, as well as reporting from: - **Associated Press** - **Reuters** - **Fox News**
### **Resolution Details:**
- Once the Democratic National Committee (DNC) or the candidate formally announces and accepts the nomination, the market resolves immediately. - If a candidate later withdraws, is replaced, or is removed before Election Day, this does not impact the already resolved outcome. - Superdelegate counts, internal party projections, or unofficial announcements are insufficient unless they are formally confirmed by the party or supported by the resolution sources.