MyriadProbabilité implicite actuelle
JD Vance 67.4%-0.1%En tête parmi 32 options
Qualite du marche
28 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
0 €
Liquidité
0 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
-
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes
24 févr. 26, 14:331 janv. 00, 0:01
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
JD Vance67%
Comparer les plateformes· J.D. Vance
Trié par volume 24 h| Plateforme | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketLa plus active | 40% | 0pt | 1,3 M € | 41,4 M € | il y a 13 minutes | Ouvrir → |
 Kalshi | 41% | +1pt | 96,2 k € | 31 M € | il y a 8 minutes | Ouvrir → |
 Manifold Markets | 40% | +0pt | — | — | il y a 7 jours | Ouvrir → |
| Manifold Markets | 39% | -1pt | — | — | il y a 9 jours | Ouvrir → |
| Manifold Markets | 40% | 0pt | — | — | il y a 9 jours | Ouvrir → |
| MyriadCette page | 67% | +27pt | 0 € | 0 € | il y a 6 minutes | |
 PredictIt | 37% | -3pt | — | — | il y a 6 minutes | Ouvrir → |
 Limitless | 24% | -16pt | 0 € | 0 € | il y a 6 minutes | Ouvrir → |
 Smarkets | 38% | -2pt | 0 € | 0 € | il y a 6 minutes | Ouvrir → |
Également disponible sur Polymarket
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
2a
49%
+0.1%40%
-0.3%25%
+125 résultats de plus
73 • Qualité moyenneSpread largeLiquidité élevéeAmbiguïté élevée
Volume total587,7 M €
Volume 24h1,3 M €
POLYMARKETÉgalement disponible sur Manifold Markets
Who will be the Republican nominee for president in 2028?
2a
2.8%
2%
0.1%
+35 résultats de plus
Prévision communautaire799 prévisionnistesType: multiple choice
Volume total953,3 k €
Volume 24h2,1 k €
MANIFOLD MARKETSÉgalement disponible sur PredictIt
Who will win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
37%
29%
5%
+11 résultats de plus
Retail prediction exchange
Volume total0 €
Volume 24h0 €
PREDICTITÉgalement disponible sur Manifold Markets
Who will be the Republican nominee for President in 2028?
2a
1.8%
3%
0.5%
+22 résultats de plus
Prévision communautaire62 prévisionnistesType: multiple choice
Volume total21,5 k €
Volume 24h102,7 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSÉgalement disponible sur Manifold Markets
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
2a
39.4%
27.8%
3.5%
+3 résultats de plus
Prévision communautaire19 prévisionnistesType: multiple choice
Volume total6,1 k €
Volume 24h109,6 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSÉgalement disponible sur Limitless
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
2a
23.5%
50%
2.9%
+4 résultats de plus
28 • Faible qualitéSpread inconnuFaible liquiditéMarché peu profond
Volume total13,3 k €
Volume 24h0 €
LIMITLESSÉgalement disponible sur Kalshi
2028 Republican presidential nominee
0.2%2a
+0.2%1%
3%
-1.0%29%
+35 résultats de plus
73 • Qualité moyenneSpread largeLiquidité élevéeAmbiguïté élevée
Volume total44,4 M €
Volume 24h96,2 k €
KALSHIÉgalement disponible sur Smarkets
Republican Presidential Nominee
0.2%
3.3%
0.1%
+24 résultats de plus
28 • Faible qualitéSpread inconnuFaible liquiditéMarché peu profond
Volume total3,7 k €
Volume 24h0 €
SMARKETSRègles
### **Market Dates:**
- - **Market Period:** From the publication date until the nomination is officially determined. - **Market Close:** This market remains open until a resolution is achieved. - **Resolution Deadline:** The market will resolve as soon as an outcome is reached.
- ### **Resolution Criteria:**
- - This market resolves to the **individual candidate who officially wins and accepts the 2028 Republican Party nomination for President of the United States**. - If candidate not represented by their own bracket wins, the market resolves to “Other.” - Confirmation will rely on the Republican Party’s **official communications**, as well as reporting from: - **Associated Press** - **Reuters** - **Fox News**
- ### **Resolution Details:**
- - Once the Republican National Committee (RNC) or the candidate formally announces and accepts the nomination, the market resolves immediately. - If a candidate later withdraws, is replaced, or is removed before Election Day, this does not impact the already resolved outcome. - Superdelegate counts, internal party projections, or unofficial announcements are insufficient unless they are formally confirmed by the party or supported by the resolution sources.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Marchés Associés
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2,1 M €Before Jul 14, 2026: 92%KALSHI
KALSHI
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1 M €Gavin Newsom: 19%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will Graham Platner drop out by...?
355,1 k €November 2: 98%POLYMARKET
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KALSHI
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### **Market Dates:**
- - **Market Period:** From the publication date until the nomination is officially determined. - **Market Close:** This market remains open until a resolution is achieved. - **Resolution Deadline:** The market will resolve as soon as an outcome is reached.
- ### **Resolution Criteria:**
- - This market resolves to the **individual candidate who officially wins and accepts the 2028 Republican Party nomination for President of the United States**. - If candidate not represented by their own bracket wins, the market resolves to “Other.” - Confirmation will rely on the Republican Party’s **official communications**, as well as reporting from: - **Associated Press** - **Reuters** - **Fox News**
- ### **Resolution Details:**
- - Once the Republican National Committee (RNC) or the candidate formally announces and accepts the nomination, the market resolves immediately. - If a candidate later withdraws, is replaced, or is removed before Election Day, this does not impact the already resolved outcome. - Superdelegate counts, internal party projections, or unofficial announcements are insufficient unless they are formally confirmed by the party or supported by the resolution sources.