Will Xi Jinping and Putin still be elected officials when Humans are orbiting the moon?
Russia / UkraineOne-OffChina3aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 68%
Prévisionnistes
18
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 heures
Obsolète5 mai 24, 04:21 UTC1 janv. 30, 05:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Xi Jinping still be the leader of China by 2030?
Manifold MarketsXi Jinping remains Chinese chairman by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Xi Jinping visit the US again before he dies?
Manifold MarketsWill Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
PolymarketXi Jinping out before 2027?
PolymarketWill Xi Jinping visit the United States?
KalshiRègles
Resolves Yes if both are elected officials
- Resolves 50% if only one is
- Resolves No if Xi Jinping and Putin are no longer elected officials
- Update 2025-09-10 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Artemis 2 on a free-return trajectory does not count as "humans are orbiting the Moon."
Marchés ouverts
Russia / UkrainePOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 22,2 M €
- Volume 24h
- 473 k €
POLYMARKETRussia Parliamentary Election Winner
- United Russia (ER)+0.6pt100%
- Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)-0.1pt0%
- A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)0%
+5 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETPutin out as President of Russia by which date?
- June 30, 2027-1.0pt14%
- December-1.0pt7%
- September 30,-0.1pt1%
+2 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Yulia Navalnaya8%
- UNRWA+0.5pt8%
- International Court of Justice-1.0pt6%
+17 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETUnited Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?
- 325–339-0.5pt37.1%
- 340–354+2.0pt24.7%
- 310–324-5.0pt22.7%
POLYMARKETBank of Russia decision in September?
- No Change-1.0pt68.7%
- Decrease+1.5pt28.3%
- Increase-1.3pt3%
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
- Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by which date?
- Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
- Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Xi Jinping and Putin still be elected officials when Humans are orbiting the moon? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 68% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Xi Jinping and Putin still be elected officials when Humans are orbiting the moon? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Xi Jinping and Putin still be elected officials when Humans are orbiting the moon? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2030.
- Comment Will Xi Jinping and Putin still be elected officials when Humans are orbiting the moon? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves Yes if both are elected officials