Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 94.2%
Prévisionnistes
25
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 heures
Obsolète11 janv. 26, 09:13 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Prediction Markets be banned in the US before 31 December, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill more porn categories/themes be banned in the UK before 2027?
Manifold MarketsIntoxicating hemp-derived THC products federally banned in U.S. by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
KalshiWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by September 30?
PolymarketWill OpenAI's valuation hit __ by September 30?
PolymarketRègles
Resolves YES if Australia restricts access to x.com in 2026 in a way that might be reasonably called a "ban", where the bar for this will be low.
- This includes but is not limited to:
- A DNS block at the ISP level
- Delisting the app from the Apple app store or Google Play
- IP blocks at the ISP level
- Other website bans in Australia have typically been done via DNS blocks, where specific ISPs are required either by court orders or instructions from regulators to block the websites in their DNS servers.
Marchés ouverts
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 8pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 944,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 721,8 k €
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above+68.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-22.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-8.0pt1%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,442.97 target
- No73%
- Yes27%
- Volume total
- 620 k €
- Volume 24h
- 536 k €
KALSHIGuyana Amazon Warriors vs Antigua And Barbuda Falcons
- Guyana Amazon Warriors+4.0pt66.3%
- Antigua And Barbuda Falcons-3.0pt33.7%
- Volume total
- 514,9 k €
- Volume 24h
- 496,9 k €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+48.0pt99%
- Houston+70.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+17.0pt99%
+19 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+53.0pt95.2%
- 79° or below-3.0pt1%
- 82° to 83°-44.0pt1%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- BTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- BTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- When will Apple Inc. release the iPhone 18 Pro?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will X (Twitter) be banned in Australia in 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 94% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will X (Twitter) be banned in Australia in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will X (Twitter) be banned in Australia in 2026? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will X (Twitter) be banned in Australia in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves YES if Australia restricts access to x.com in 2026 in a way that might be reasonably called a "ban", where the bar for this will be low.