Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 65%
Prévisionnistes
35
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 20 heures
Obsolète9 mars 24, 23:14 UTC1 mars 38, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will we get a cure for cancer before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill we get a cure for cancer before 2037?
Manifold MarketsWill we get a cure for cancer before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill we get a cure for cancer before 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill we get AGI before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill we get AGI before 2029?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolves as YES if 95% of individuals diagnosed with cancer are alive and cancer-free (complete remission) 18 months after initial diagnosis, in a least 4 of the following countries: USA, UK, France, Japan, India, Canada, Australia, Germany, Italy.
- In order for this question to resolve as YES, there has to be credible evidence in each qualifying country that this threshold has been reached.
- This evidence (e.g. clinical studies) must take into consideration patients diagnosed with cancer at least 18 months prior to January 1st 2038.
- Questions with the same criteria:
- @/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-bf2acb801224
- @/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-e2cd2abbbed6 @/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-92c17acb77f1
