Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 80%
Prévisionnistes
6
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 heures
Obsolète13 déc. 25, 17:56 UTC31 déc. 29, 12:58 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will victor orban flee to US by EOY2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Yulia Navalnaya run for President of Russia before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Rubio and Vance run for President?
KalshiVance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?
PolymarketWhich of these Democrats will be the first to announce a run for President?
PolymarketWill Gavin Newsom run for President in the 2028 election?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Currently president position is symbolic in Hungary.
- It is speculated by some journalists he may attempt to increase the power of the president while he is prime minister, and then run for the president position to stay in power.
- Update 2025-12-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Market will resolve by the end of 2029 (when the next indirect voting for president takes place).
- Update 2025-12-14 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Market will resolve early if Orban dies
- Market can resolve YES even if Hungary splits, gets renamed, or changes constitution (does not require Orban to be president of the same state)