Which of these Democrats will be the first to announce a run for President?
6.0% (24h)RégulationOne-OffPolitiqueUS PoliticsÉlection1a
PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelleOther 50%En tête parmi 12 options
Qualite du marche
56 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
21,9 €
Liquidité
30,7 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
13.0% / 17.0%
Spread
30.8%
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 minutes
10 juil. 26, 1:3631 déc. 27, 23:59
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Other50%
Tendance du volume
$2510 juil.4j de données13 juil.
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This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise.
- An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market.
- The listed individuals are: Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Stewart, Andy Beshear, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna, and Stephen A.
- An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority.
- A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
- If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".