Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 51%
Prévisionnistes
41
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 heures
Obsolète19 déc. 25, 04:47 UTC31 déc. 26, 05:02 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by which date?
PolymarketNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
PolymarketUkraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
PolymarketWhat will happen this year 2026? ( Trump and USA related)
Manifold Marketswill the trump class battleship ever be built
Manifold MarketsWho will win the next Ukrainian presidential elections
Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Ukraine cedes control of any territory to Russia through a peace agreement , or other official arrangement..
- Resolves NO if Ukraine maintains its position of not ceding territory as part of any peace effort.
- ❗️Ukraine does not have to formally recognise the land as russian, just so long as they give it up for now as part of a peace deal ❗
- Ongoing peace negotiations between Ukraine, the U.S., and European officials have made progress on security guarantees but left significant gaps on territorial control.
- Putin has demanded that Ukraine surrender territory for the war to end, while Zelenskyy to date has refused to cede any land.
Marchés ouverts
US PoliticsPOLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.4pt98%
- $25M+0.8pt95%
- $50M+10.0pt95%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 855,7 k €
- Volume 24h
- 683,4 k €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.2%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,6 M €
- Volume 24h
KALSHIRhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- Helena Foulkes-0.4pt97.1%
- Dan McKee+2.3pt2.9%
- Gregory Stevens0%
- Volume total
- 620,1 k €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party-1.0pt84%
- Republican Party16%
- Volume total
- 24,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 215,2 k €
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+2.8pt57.6%
- Benjamin Netanyahu+1.0pt28.3%
- Naftali Bennett-1.0pt7.1%
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- NJ-07 House winner?
- IA-01 House winner?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which states will redistrict before the midterms?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Ukraine cede land to russia? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 51% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Ukraine cede land to russia? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Ukraine cede land to russia? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will Ukraine cede land to russia? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria