Will Ukraine cede land to russia?
Politique américaineOne-OffRussie / UkraineGéopolitiquePolitique2mois
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 50%
Prévisionnistes
49
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard19 déc. 25, 04:47 UTC31 déc. 26, 05:02 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by which date?
PolymarketWill Russia formally cede any territory before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Russia formally cede Crimea before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Russia cede territory to China by 2040 as predicted by Sarah Paine?
Manifold MarketsNothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketIf Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Ukraine cedes control of any territory to Russia through a peace agreement , or other official arrangement..
- Resolves NO if Ukraine maintains its position of not ceding territory as part of any peace effort.
- ❗️Ukraine does not have to formally recognise the land as russian, just so long as they give it up for now as part of a peace deal ❗
- Ongoing peace negotiations between Ukraine, the U.S., and European officials have made progress on security guarantees but left significant gaps on territorial control.
- Putin has demanded that Ukraine surrender territory for the war to end, while Zelenskyy to date has refused to cede any land.
