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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Russia / Ukraine
  3. Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

One-OffRussia / Ukraine6mo
PolymarketPolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de frais
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Oui
Oui 16%
Qualite du marche

72 / 100

Qualité moyenne
Volume 24h

94,9 €

Liquidité

30,6 k €

Liquidité élevée
Achat / Vente

15.0% / 16.0%

Spread

6.7%

Spread modéré
Variation 7j

-2.0%

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes

13 nov. 25, 21:4631 déc. 26, 0:00

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Résultat choisi

Yes16%

Règles

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a deal in which Ukraine agrees to cede any territory under its control at the time of the agreement is reached between the Russian Federation and Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • The deal must be a publicly announced mutual agreement or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
  • If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
  • Only territory ceded as part of a diplomatic process or agreement will qualify.
  • If a territorial adjustment is made as part of a mutual border demarcation process or technical boundary agreement that does not materially alter de facto control or reflect a broader territorial concession, it will not qualify for a 'Yes' resolution unless it is reported as a territorial concession by a consensus of credible reporting.

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Règles

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a deal in which Ukraine agrees to cede any territory under its control at the time of the agreement is reached between the Russian Federation and Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • The deal must be a publicly announced mutual agreement or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
  • If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
  • Only territory ceded as part of a diplomatic process or agreement will qualify.
  • If a territorial adjustment is made as part of a mutual border demarcation process or technical boundary agreement that does not materially alter de facto control or reflect a broader territorial concession, it will not qualify for a 'Yes' resolution unless it is reported as a territorial concession by a consensus of credible reporting.