Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNo peace, no Nobel 80%En tête parmi 4 options
Prévisionnistes
52
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 heures
Obsolète11 oct. 25, 17:11 UTC3 janv. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Trump wins Nobel Peace Prize 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the "Trump Nobel Peace Prize 2026" market ever reach 10% again?
Manifold Markets2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner
KalshiNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
Polymarket[Kalshi] Nobel Peace Prize winner
Manifold MarketsUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketRègles
Peace before 2027.
- There doesn't have to be an explicit causal relationship, just whether the two things happen.
- This is a derivative market; it will resolve exactly according to these underlying markets:
- [markets]Previously:
- @/EvanDaniel/will-trump-win-the-2025-nobel-peace