Will Donald Trump Win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2028?
PolitiqueOne-OffÉlectionGéopolitiqueMoyen-OrientRussie / UkraineSportFootballPolitique américaine2aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 96.7%
Prévisionnistes
2
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 minutes
12 oct. 26, 17:13 UTC31 déc. 28, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Manifold MarketsRègles
This market resolves YES if the Norwegian Nobel Committee names Donald J. Trump as a laureate of the 2028 Nobel Peace Prize, either alone or shared with other individuals or organizations.
- It resolves NO if the 2028 prize goes to anyone else, or if the committee declines to award a Peace Prize for 2028.
- Resolution details:
- “2028 Nobel Peace Prize” means the prize the committee designates as the 2028 award, normally announced in October 2028 and presented December 10, 2028.
- If the announcement is delayed, the market waits for it.
- Only an official award from the Norwegian Nobel Committee counts.
