Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will there be more than 500,000,000 religious Buddhists worldwide on 1st January 2030? ?

Manifold Markets cote No à 51.8% au 25 octobre 2026.

Will there be more than 500,000,000 religious Buddhists worldwide on 1st January 2030?

Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibré

Alerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées

Données au 25 oct. 2026, 20:40 UTC · politique pm-quality-4

Prévision communautaire actuelle

Non 51.8%

Prévisionnistes

Type de question

binary

Méthodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Type de source

Prévision

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 2 heures

Obsolète

24 mars 24, 11:49 UTC1 janv. 30, 23:59 UTC

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Règles

Resolves “yes” if most plausible statistics show there are more than 500mill Buddhists worldwide on 1st January 2030

Resolves “no” if the statistics show there are fewer than 500mill Buddhists on that date.
Resolves “n/a” if plausible statistics disagree with each other over whether there are more than 500mill Buddhists exist on that date or not.
Only people who follow Buddhism as a religion count for this market, not those who treat it as a secular philosophy.