Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 26 oct. 2026, 09:52 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelleNon 68.5%
Prévisionnistes
35
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 heures
Obsolète19 avr. 26, 22:31 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the SCOTUS hear a case about AI and copyright law before 2027?
KalshiAre we about to hit another AI winter in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill there be polling about AI voting advice in 2026 midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill MNX commission a new longform piece about AI by a Manifold user before November?
Manifold MarketsBefore 2030, will > 75% of Americans be more concerned than excited about AI?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketRègles
xkcd has a reputation of providing lots of commentary about contemporary tech issues.
- However, it has been notably silent about recent AI!
- Isn’t this kind of weird? Has anyone else noticed this?
- This market is about whether it continues.
- I will resolve based on whether the Artificial Intelligence category of explainxkcd contains any comics from 2026 at end of 2026.
- This assumes that it has not been manipulated; if I suspect its information is wrong I will make the judgement myself.