Will the world be more religious on 21st April 2029 than on 21st April 2024?
One-OffReligionSociété et culture2aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 72%
Prévisionnistes
6
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 heures
Obsolète21 avr. 24, 16:53 UTC21 avr. 29, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
According to the statistics I could find, around 84% of people globally are religious on 21st April 2024.
- This market resolves to “yes” if the mainstream statistics I can find suggest that more than 84% of people globally are religious on April 21st 2029.
- “No” of fewer than 84% of people globally are religious on that date.
- “N/a” if reliable statistics cannot be found or if they disagree with each other as to whether religiosity has increased or decreased.
- I will not bet on this market to avoid motivated reasoning.
