Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 57%
Prévisionnistes
44
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard22 sept. 23, 17:14 UTC1 janv. 64, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
When will "The Winds of Winter" (A song of Ice and Fire) by George R.R. Martin be published?
Manifold MarketsWill Winds of Winter (a song of ice and fire) be published before George R.R. Martin's death?
Manifold MarketsWill George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?
PolymarketWhich POV character will have the most chapters in "The Winds of Winter" by George R.R. Martin?
Manifold MarketsThe Winds of Winter: Release date announced this year?
KalshiWill Netflix Studios Fort Monmouth Phase 1B be completed before winter 2028?
KalshiRègles
Resolves YES if George R. R. Martin publishes "The Winds of Winter" prehumously.
- NO if he passes away with it still unpublished
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will "The Winds of Winter" be published while George R. R. Martin is alive ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 57% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will "The Winds of Winter" be published while George R. R. Martin is alive sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will "The Winds of Winter" be published while George R. R. Martin is alive doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2064.
- Comment Will "The Winds of Winter" be published while George R. R. Martin is alive est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves YES if George R. R. Martin publishes "The Winds of Winter" prehumously.