Will Winds of Winter (a song of ice and fire) be published before George R.R. Martin's death?
One-OffDivertissementSociété et culture3a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 51.7%
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109
Type de question
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 heures
Obsolète13 oct. 23, 12:47 UTC1 janv. 30, 22:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Winds of Winter (a song of ice and fire) be published before George R.R. Martin's death?
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KalshiRègles
This question focuses specifically on "The Winds of Winter".
- The condition would be fulfilled if the title matches or has resemblance to "The Winds of Winter", such as "A Few Winds of Winter", "The Winds of Snow" or "The Tornados of Winter".
- Simply having a sixth book isn't sufficient to resolve this market yes.
- If a notably different title is utilized, I'd rely on George R.R. Martin's statements and media reports to determine if the content planned for the sixth book aligns with or resembles what was envisioned for "The Winds of Winter".
- For instance, if Martin decided to write another book in between and published it as th sixth book of "A Song of Ice and Fire" series, this question would remain unresolved.
- It must be published in an unlimited edition or a limited edition with at least 100 000 books.