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Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?

Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?

0.5% (24h)DivertissementYearly6mo

PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de frais

Probabilité implicite actuelle

Oui

Oui 11%+0.0%

Qualite du marche

44 / 100

Faible qualité

Volume 24h

91,2 €

Liquidité

2,4 k €

Liquidité moyenne

Achat / Vente

9.0% / 13.0%

Spread

44.4%

Spread large

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes

16 janv. 26, 0:3331 déc. 26, 0:00

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Résultat choisi

Yes11%

Mise (USDT)

Règles

This market will resolve to "Yes" if George R.

Martin publicly and explicitly announces by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET that an installment of A Song of Ice and Fire titled "The Winds of Winter" will be released.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The announcement of the creation of any expansion or sequel not explicitly named "The Winds of Winter" (e.g., Fire & Blood, A Sworn Sword) will not be sufficient to qualify this market toward a "Yes" resolution.
The book must have the words "The Winds of Winter" in the title to qualify.
This market is concerned only with the announcement of release.

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Règles

This market will resolve to "Yes" if George R.

Martin publicly and explicitly announces by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET that an installment of A Song of Ice and Fire titled "The Winds of Winter" will be released.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The announcement of the creation of any expansion or sequel not explicitly named "The Winds of Winter" (e.g., Fire & Blood, A Sworn Sword) will not be sufficient to qualify this market toward a "Yes" resolution.
The book must have the words "The Winds of Winter" in the title to qualify.
This market is concerned only with the announcement of release.