Which will be released first, The Winds of Winter (ASoIaF #6) or Doors of Stone (KC #3)?
Divertissement3mois
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
The Winds of Winter 69.9%
Prévisionnistes
31
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+0.6 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 heures
Obsolète4 juin 24, 18:07 UTC1 janv. 27, 05:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
The Winds of Winter: Release date announced this year?
KalshiWill George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?
PolymarketWinds of Winter released before 2027?
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KalshiRègles
Resolved upon release.
- In the event the book's name is changed, the next novel-length sequel in either series will win.
- (For example, if Rothfuss releases a surprise KC prequel that is not functionally the third book in his projected trilogy, that would not resolve YES--but if he just renames the third book "I hate writing here's the book give me my money and go away," that would resolve YES.)
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Which will be released first, The Winds of Winter (ASoIaF #6) or Doors of Stone (KC #3)? ?
- Manifold Markets cote The Winds of Winter à 70% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Which will be released first, The Winds of Winter (ASoIaF #6) or Doors of Stone (KC #3)? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Which will be released first, The Winds of Winter (ASoIaF #6) or Doors of Stone (KC #3)? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Which will be released first, The Winds of Winter (ASoIaF #6) or Doors of Stone (KC #3)? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolved upon release.