Which will be released first, The Winds of Winter (ASoIaF #6) or Doors of Stone (KC #3)?
Divertissement2mois
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
The Winds of Winter 69.9%
The Winds of Winter 69.9%Prévisionnistes
31
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 heures
Obsolète4 juin 24, 18:07 UTC1 janv. 27, 05:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which book will be released first; between "winds of winter", "Doors of Stone", and "Thorn of Emberlain"?
Manifold MarketsWill George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?
PolymarketThe Winds of Winter: Release date announced this year?
KalshiWinds of Winter released before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill half life 3 release before The Winds of Winter?
Manifold MarketsAny one of Half Life 3, the Winds of Winter, or Elder Scrolls 6 announced before the end of 2026
Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolved upon release.
- In the event the book's name is changed, the next novel-length sequel in either series will win.
- (For example, if Rothfuss releases a surprise KC prequel that is not functionally the third book in his projected trilogy, that would not resolve YES--but if he just renames the third book "I hate writing here's the book give me my money and go away," that would resolve YES.)