When will "The Winds of Winter" (A song of Ice and Fire) by George R.R. Martin be published?
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Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOther 55.5%En tête parmi 8 options
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81
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multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes
20 déc. 23, 15:25 UTC31 déc. 30, 22:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the next book of A Song of Ice and Fire by George R. R. Martin be released by the end of 2030?
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KalshiRègles
This question focuses specifically on "The Winds of Winter".
- The condition would be fulfilled if the title matches or has resemblance to "The Winds of Winter", such as "A Few Winds of Winter", "The Winds of Snow" or "The Tornados of Winter".
- Simply having a sixth book isn't sufficient to resolve this market yes.
- If a notably different title is utilized, I'd rely on George R.R. Martin's or his publisher (in case of death) statements and media reports to determine if the content planned for the sixth book aligns with or resembles what was envisioned for "The Winds of Winter".
- For instance, if Martin decided to write another book in between and published it as the sixth book of "A Song of Ice and Fire" series, this question would remain unresolved.
- It must be published in an unlimited edition or a limited edition with at least 100 000 books.