Will the next book of A Song of Ice and Fire by George R. R. Martin be released by the end of 2030?
One-OffDivertissement4aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 66.5%
Prévisionnistes
57
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 heures
Obsolète24 juil. 22, 22:17 UTC1 janv. 31, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
When will "The Winds of Winter" (A song of Ice and Fire) by George R.R. Martin be published?
Manifold MarketsWill George R.R. Martin die before delivering the final book in the “A Song of Ice and Fire” series?
Manifold MarketsWill Winds of Winter (a song of ice and fire) be published before George R.R. Martin's death?
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KalshiRègles
Resolves YES if the sixth novel (current title: "The Winds of Winter") in the series A Song Of Ice And Fire is released by end of 2030, and is authored by George R. R. Martin.
Marchés ouverts
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
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- 940 - 950m-16.5pt26.5%
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+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
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- Volume 24h
- 98 k €
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+25.0pt67%
- Callum Turner-3.0pt21%
- Jack Barton-8.0pt20%
+27 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,8 M €
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+23.4pt48%
- No Bond chosen-6.3pt17%
- Jack Barton-3.5pt9%
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- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
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- 80 k €
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
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+10 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 130,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 45,3 k €
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- Barrett Pfeiffer17%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the next book of A Song of Ice and Fire by George R. R. Martin be released by the end of 2030? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 67% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the next book of A Song of Ice and Fire by George R. R. Martin be released by the end of 2030? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the next book of A Song of Ice and Fire by George R. R. Martin be released by the end of 2030? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2031.
- Comment Will the next book of A Song of Ice and Fire by George R. R. Martin be released by the end of 2030? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves YES if the sixth novel (current title: "The Winds of Winter") in the series A Song Of Ice And Fire is released by end of 2030, and is authored by George R. R. Martin.