Will George R.R. Martin die before delivering the final book in the “A Song of Ice and Fire” series?

Questions fréquentes

Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will George R.R. Martin die before delivering the final book in the “A Song of Ice and Fire” series? ?

Manifold Markets cote Yes à 85.5% au 25 octobre 2026.

Quand Will George R.R. Martin die before delivering the final book in the “A Song of Ice and Fire” series? sera-t-il résolu ?

Will George R.R. Martin die before delivering the final book in the “A Song of Ice and Fire” series? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.

Comment Will George R.R. Martin die before delivering the final book in the “A Song of Ice and Fire” series? est-il réglé ?

Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Final entry in main book series - does not include short stories, Simarillion style additional content, etc.

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POLYMARKET

Elon Musk # tweets October 24 - October 26, 2026?

• 65-89+12.5pt49.5%
• 40-64-13.0pt24.3%
• 90-114+4.5pt19.4%

+7 résultats de plus

Volume total

160,6 k €

Volume 24h

137,2 k €

POLYMARKET

Paris curfew effectively lifted by which date?

• November 30+0.1pt98%
• November 7-1.0pt85%
• October 31+0.5pt54%

+2 résultats de plus

KALSHI

Maine lobster landings in 2026

• Above 55 million pounds-1.0pt94.5%
• Above 60 million pounds89.5%
• Above 65 million pounds-1.0pt

POLYMARKET

Lyon curfew effectively lifted by which date?

• November 788%
• October 3166%

+2 résultats de plus

Volume total

15,1 k €

Volume 24h

3,1 k €

POLYMARKET

Turner Prize 2026 Winner

• Kira Freije-7.0pt35.8%
• Tanoa Sasraku+7.0pt25.3%
• Marguerite Humeau-0.8pt21.1%

+1 résultats de plus

KALSHI

TSA passenger screenings on Oct 24, 2026

• At least 2,100,000 passengers66%
• At least 2,200,000 passengers14.5%
• At least 2,300,000 passengers3%

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