Will the sixth novel in the A Song Of Ice And Fire series be released before the death of George R. R. Martin?
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Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 59.1%
Prévisionnistes
95
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète20 mars 22, 00:36 UTC19 sept. 49, 23:00 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will George R.R. Martin die before delivering the final book in the “A Song of Ice and Fire” series?
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Manifold MarketsWill Winds of Winter (a song of ice and fire) be published before George R.R. Martin's death?
Manifold MarketsWill the next book of A Song of Ice and Fire by George R. R. Martin be released by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?
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KalshiRègles
This market resolves to "YES" if the sixth novel (current title: "The Winds of Winter") in the A Song Of Ice And Fire series of fantasy novels is released before the death of the author, George R. R. Martin.
- Mar 20, 12:36am: Trading ends on 20th September 2049 - GRRMs 100th birthday.