Will the sixth novel in the A Song Of Ice And Fire series be released before the death of George R. R. Martin?
One-OffDivertissementManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 59.1%
Prévisionnistes
95
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 heures
Obsolète20 mars 22, 00:36 UTC19 sept. 49, 23:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will George R.R. Martin die before delivering the final book in the “A Song of Ice and Fire” series?
Manifold MarketsWhen will "The Winds of Winter" (A song of Ice and Fire) by George R.R. Martin be published?
Manifold MarketsWill the next book of A Song of Ice and Fire by George R. R. Martin be released by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?
PolymarketPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
Kalshi"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
PolymarketRègles
This market resolves to "YES" if the sixth novel (current title: "The Winds of Winter") in the A Song Of Ice And Fire series of fantasy novels is released before the death of the author, George R. R. Martin.
- Mar 20, 12:36am: Trading ends on 20th September 2049 - GRRMs 100th birthday.
Marchés ouverts
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the sixth novel in the A Song Of Ice And Fire series be released before the death of George R. R. Martin? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 59% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the sixth novel in the A Song Of Ice And Fire series be released before the death of George R. R. Martin? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the sixth novel in the A Song Of Ice And Fire series be released before the death of George R. R. Martin? doit être résolu le 19 septembre 2049.
- Comment Will the sixth novel in the A Song Of Ice And Fire series be released before the death of George R. R. Martin? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This market resolves to "YES" if the sixth novel (current title: "The Winds of Winter") in the A Song Of Ice And Fire series of fantasy novels is released before the death of the author, George R. R. Martin.